Name: Anticipatory Water Management - Using Ensemble Weather Forecasts for Critical Events: Unesco-Ihe PhD Thesis (en Inglés)
Price: 165700.00 CLP
Availability: InStock
Author: Andel, Schalk-Jan
ISBN: 9781138474680

portada Anticipatory Water Management - Using Ensemble Weather Forecasts for Critical Events: Unesco-Ihe PhD Thesis (en Inglés)

Formato

Libro Físico

Autor

Schalk-Jan Andel

Editorial

CRC Press

Idioma

Inglés

N° páginas

182

Encuadernación

Tapa Dura

ISBN13

9781138474680

Categorías

Ingeniería civil, topografía y construcción
Suministro y tratamiento de aguas

Anticipatory Water Management - Using Ensemble Weather Forecasts for Critical Events: Unesco-Ihe PhD Thesis (en Inglés)

Schalk-Jan Andel (Autor) · CRC Press · Tapa Dura

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Reseña del libro "Anticipatory Water Management - Using Ensemble Weather Forecasts for Critical Events: Unesco-Ihe PhD Thesis (en Inglés)"

Day-to-day water management is challenged by meteorological extremes, causing floods and droughts. Often operational water managers are informed too late about these upcoming events to be able to respond and mitigate their effects, such as by taking flood control measures or even requiring evacuation of local inhabitants. Therefore, the use of weather forecast information with hydrological models can be invaluable for the operational water manager to expand the forecast horizon and to have time to take appropriate action. This is called Anticipatory Water Management. Anticipatory actions may have adverse effects, such as when flood control actions turn out to have been unnecessary, because the actual rainfall was less than predicted. Therefore the uncertainty of the forecasts and the associated risks of applying Anticipatory Water Management have to be assessed. To facilitate this assessment, meteorological institutes are providing ensemble predictions to estimate the dynamic uncertainty of weather forecasts. This dissertation presents ways of improving the end-use of ensemble predictions in Anticipatory Water Management.